European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde is reportedly considering leaving office early, just as the digital euro enters a critical implementation phase, according to The Financial Times, which cited a source familiar with her plans. Lagarde assumed the ECB presidency in November 2019, with her eight-year term set to expire in October 2027. However, she may step down before the French presidential election in April 2027 to allow President Emmanuel Macron and German Chancellor Friedrich Merz time to coordinate on a successor. The ECB, however, has stated that Lagarde is “fully focused on her mission and has not made any decision regarding the end of her term.” Digital Euro and Stablecoin Oversight Lagarde’s possible departure comes at a pivotal moment for the ECB’s digital agenda. Under her leadership, the bank has advanced preparatory work on the digital euro and emphasized the importance of controlling risks from private digital currencies, including stablecoins, within the MiCA framework. ECB officials have warned that the rapidly growing stablecoin market could threaten financial stability and monetary policy in the eurozone, even with MiCA safeguards in place. Lagarde has repeatedly criticized Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies as “highly speculative,” highlighting concerns over illicit activity and money laundering. Changes in ECB leadership could influence the prioritization of the digital euro, stablecoin regulation, and crypto payment integration within the EU regulatory framework. Succession and Crypto Policy Potential ECB successors include former Bank of Spain Governor Pablo Hernández de Cos, Dutch central bank head Klaas Knot, ECB Executive Board member Isabel Schnabel, and Bundesbank President Joachim Nagel. All four take cautious stances on cryptocurrencies: De Cos considers crypto assets a threat to financial stability requiring strict regulation. Knot advocates for a global regulatory framework for digital currencies. Nagel promotes the digital euro but calls Bitcoin a “digital tulip,” opposing its use as a reserve asset. Schnabel describes Bitcoin as a “speculative asset without recognized fundamental value.” The digital euro project still awaits EU legislative approval. The ECB has advanced technical preparations and is forming partnerships to ensure universal access. EU lawmakers expect the regulation to be adopted in 2026, paving the way for a 12-month pilot in the second half of 2027 and eventual issuance in 2029. The choice of Lagarde’s successor will play a crucial role in the digital euro’s final implementation and the bank’s approach to crypto oversight. Strategic Implications Long-term institutional analysis shows that projects like the digital euro often outlive two or three leaders, causing delays of 12–18 months each time priorities shift. The longer legislative approval is delayed, the more entrenched dollar-denominated stablecoins become in the market, creating challenges for euro-based digital payments. Lagarde’s decision and her successor’s priorities will shape Europe’s digital currency landscape for years to come.
