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2026-02-24 17:47:22

BTC: Grayscale's Bitcoin ETF Challenging The Major Asset Management Firms

Summary Grayscale Bitcoin Mini Trust ETF offers direct spot Bitcoin exposure with a competitive 0.15% expense ratio and robust liquidity. BTC tracks the CoinDesk Bitcoin Price Index closely, with minimal tracking error and a, cash-only creation/redemption process via Coinbase Custody. BTC seems to suit buy-and-hold investors seeking simple, tradable Bitcoin access but carries high volatility. BTC stands out for low fees, minimal premium/discount, and strong liquidity, outperforming GBTC on cost and microstructure but still subject to Bitcoin’s inherent unpredictability. Bitcoin is an element that has shaken up traditional finance, considering the strong growth in AUM among many spot Bitcoin ETFs. Among these, one ETF stands out against which other peers are measured, especially in terms of AUM—the Grayscale Bitcoin Mini Trust ETF (BTC). It has several distinctive traits we'll discuss here. What is BTC? It is a spot Bitcoin ETF that provides direct exposure to the price of Bitcoin through physical holding of the asset within the trust, without leverage or other income-generating features. It tracks the CoinDesk Bitcoin Price Index (XBX) with a very “clean” replication: tracking is very close to the index, with marginal deviations consistent with fees and micro-frictions. BTC (Seeking Alpha) Since it has a low 0.15% expense ratio, this reduces structural decay (Bitcoin per share decreasing over time due to expenses paid by selling BTC). This represents a strength, which seems to be supporting gradual growth in AUM, currently equal to $3.37 billion at the time of writing. Maintaining a recognizable security standard , with Coinbase Custody as its primary custodian, it manages the creation and redemption process through a cash-only mechanism. BTC turnover (Seeking Alpha) What Does BTC Do? The objective is to provide spot exposure to Bitcoin by replicating the XBX index, less expenses, thus clearly positioning itself as a “pure” vehicle for exposure to the price of BTC. This means that returns derive almost exclusively from the appreciation of Bitcoin’s price. Note that the fund does not introduce a cash flow model, does not engage in staking, and does not generate income. BTC total return (Seeking Alpha) But it does its job well and maintains high volume and a low spread (30-day average of 0.03%), which results in an "A" liquidity grade from SA, decidedly better than the median of the distribution of other ETFs. BTC Liquidity Grade (Seeking Alpha) What Drives BTC? Here, I want to point out that BTC’s underlying asset was born as an asset independent from the monetary system, therefore theoretically disconnected from global macroeconomic dynamics, with a price that depends exclusively on supply and demand. Over time, however, it has taken on various narrative connotations, which have led its price action to move closer, depending on the time frame of analysis, to other asset classes: first and foremost gold, from which the nickname Bitcoin as “digital gold” was born. A correlation that was perhaps "impure," and over time completely dissolved. BTC- USD; GLD: price return (Seeking Alpha) And with the process of institutionalization, it has shown an increasing proximity to the technology equity market. This has brought the market closer to the idea that Bitcoin could be valued like a U.S. tech unicorn. Yet here as well, the narrative was impure, and the correlation comes and goes without logical consistency. BTCUSD - S&P 500: price return (Seeking Alpha) So to summarize, this ETF follows the capital performance of Bitcoin/USD, and its movement depends exclusively on its demand and supply. Who Is BTC For? Naturally, with this ETF, Grayscale is targeting investors who want direct exposure to Bitcoin in a simple vehicle that can be traded on the secondary market. This is good for someone who prefers a wrapped ETF to personal on-chain custody. In a portfolio it could be suitable as a buy-and-hold strategy, depending on the outlook of the investor. Its high liquidity and volume also make it suitable for more speculative and short-term trading. BTC Momentum Grade (Seeking Alpha) Its annual return over 10 years (at the time of writing) is 69.5%, a return about 6 times higher than that of the S&P 500. This comes with a significantly higher average annual fluctuation of 45%. BTC Risk Grade (Seeking Alpha) In terms of asset allocation, it therefore becomes a significant component of portfolio volatility and contributes, from a statistical point of view, to overall returns. These two characteristics bring it closer, in theory, to the concept of a long-term satellite/tactical component. But these characteristics also mean that the investor must be ready to accept its wide variability and dispersion of returns and therefore handle a good dose of “risk.” Its returns cannot be estimated a priori and do not depend on fundamental values, as is the case with equities. How Is BTC Built? BTC holds Bitcoin within the trust and as of 02/17/2026 has approximately 49,810.411 BTC. The logic is designed to track the reference index, CoinDesk’s XBX, with a cash-only creation/redemption mechanism, which implies spot purchases and sales. BTC top 10 holdings (Seeking Alpha) This naturally also implies that the related sale of BTC to pay fees leads to a slow but certain reduction of BTC per share over time, therefore slightly lower performance than the index in the long run. This divergence is limited to the 0.15% expense ratio, which is still lower than the average (for SA it deserves an expense grade of A). BTC Expense Grade (Seeking Alpha) Risks Naturally, the ETF replicates Bitcoin; therefore, it fully inherits its volatility and drawdowns. We have already introduced the measure of annualized volatility, and I want to emphasize that this indicates not only greater dispersion in returns but also more pronounced drawdowns and ones that can potentially be uncorrelated with global market dynamics. This gives BTC a high degree of return unpredictability, which fuels its perception of risk compared to the traditional market itself, for example, as seen in the S&P 500. BTC - S&P 500: Price Return (Seeking Alpha) Even if frequently overlooked because it is “not common,” it is custody. When moving away from on-chain custody, or hard wallets, the threat is transferred to external vehicles. Here, Bitcoin held with a custodian (Coinbase Custody) introduces operational, regulatory, or cyber risk related to the custodian. These events can be considered rare and potentially reducible but are still present. Peer Comparison A first form of comparison is with its “parent,” also from Grayscale’s “house,” the older and better-known Grayscale Bitcoin Trust ETF (GBTC). The difference here is very wide, despite the transformation process that also seems to concern GBTC. In absolute terms, GBTC’s expense ratio is 1.50%, which impacts performance. BTC-GBTC: profile (Seeking Alpha) Added to this is the fact that GBTC, though structured as a pure trust, has higher premium/discount levels than BTC Mini Trust. So in a certain sense, BTC represents Grayscale’s attempt to adapt to the growing ETF trend. Then one can also open a broader discussion with the other widely used ETFs, first and foremost the iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF (IBIT) and the Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund ETF (FBTC). These two have higher fees than BTC, with a difference of about 10 basis points. This, despite the fact that the other two are dominant in terms of AUM, has a benefit of large issuers, namely BlackRock, Inc. (BLK) and Fidelity. BTC - GBTC - IBIT - FBTC: profile (Seeking Alpha) Pros and Cons BTC has some advantages: Simplicity of exposure: it is a direct wrapper and understandable in its function (spot tracking). Competitive fee: this lowers the drag on price, reducing tracking error, also compared to the more widely used peers. Microstructure and liquidity: Grayscale represents an evolution compared to GBTC with this ETF, considering negligible premium/discount levels, and a liquidity grade equal to "A" on SA (currently). There are also some detriments: A structural, albeit limited, decay of Bitcoin per share compared to the on-chain alternative: over time the share represents less BTC because the fund sells BTC to pay expenses. A clearly distinctive annualized volatility that makes its return rather unpredictable: evidence, however, common also to other Bitcoin ETFs. Intermediary/custodian risk, which, although considered minimal, cannot be excluded compared to private solutions such as a hard wallet. This article answers three main questions about BTC: How is BTC structured, and how does it reflect its underlying security, Bitcoin? What risks accompany BTC? How can BTC fit in a portfolio? Editor's note: This article is intended to provide a general overview of the ETF for educational purposes only and, unlike other articles on Seeking Alpha, does not offer an investment opinion about the ETF.

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