Crypto analyst Egrag Crypto has shared a new long-term outlook for XRP, arguing that investors expecting major price targets without enduring heavy volatility may misunderstand the asset’s historical behavior. In a tweet accompanied by a multi-year XRP chart, the analyst explained that the road toward higher valuations would likely include deep retracements, emotional market conditions, and prolonged consolidation phases before any large breakout occurs. The chart, based on the XRP two-month timeframe, outlines what Egrag Crypto described as a “massive macro compression structure.” According to the analyst, the current setup resembles previous XRP cycles in which extended consolidation eventually led to rapid upward price expansion. Egrag Crypto stressed that many traders rely too heavily on moving averages and exponential moving averages when evaluating XRP’s future direction. He stated that indicators such as the 7-week moving average and the 11 EMA crossover should not be viewed as independent signals because they lag behind price action. #XRP 2-Month Macro : $100 Requires Pain First Most traders still don’t understand one thing about #XRP macro charts: Moving Averages & EMAs are LAGGING indicators. The 7W MA and 11 EMA cross are NOT standalone signals. Price leads. Indicators follow. That’s why… pic.twitter.com/hAEJGc8AUO — EGRAG CRYPTO (@egragcrypto) May 12, 2026 XRP Price Action Comes Before Indicator Confirmation In the post, Egrag Crypto argued that price movement itself remains the primary factor driving market structure, while technical indicators merely react afterward. He suggested that theories predicting only shallow corrections may fail to account for XRP’s historical behavior during previous macro cycles. The analyst pointed to XRP’s past market structure. He claimed that major rallies are typically triggered by painful declines and fear among investors. He added that emotional exhaustion and disbelief often form part of the process before a strong upward move develops. Egrag Crypto also warned traders against expecting targets such as $13, $27, or even $100 without first accepting the possibility of significant volatility. According to the post, expecting large gains without enduring deep corrections would be “structurally inconsistent” with XRP’s historical market behavior. Fibonacci Levels Define the Current XRP Outlook The chart shared by the analyst highlighted several Fibonacci extension levels that he believes remain important for the current cycle. Egrag Crypto identified the Fibonacci 1.618 extension around $9 as the first major macro target. He then pointed to the Fibonacci 2 extension near $17 and the extended Fibonacci 2.272 level around $26. According to the analyst, these levels represent the realistic macro targets for the current market cycle rather than the often-discussed $100 valuation. He specifically stated that a $100 XRP price target would more likely belong to a future cycle rather than the current one. The chart also included a highlighted green zone between approximately $9 and $17. Egrag Crypto described this range as a possible “ignition phase” before a larger euphoric expansion could occur in later years. Long-Term Vision Focuses on Macro Structure Egrag Crypto concluded the analysis by emphasizing that macro structure should take priority over short-term emotions and market noise. He argued that crypto markets historically overshoot measured moves during strong speculative phases, but only after investors experience periods of uncertainty and volatility. Disclaimer : This content is meant to inform and should not be considered financial advice. The views expressed in this article may include the author’s personal opinions and do not represent Times Tabloid’s opinion. Readers are advised to conduct thorough research before making any investment decisions. Any action taken by the reader is strictly at their own risk. Times Tabloid is not responsible for any financial losses. Follow us on X , Facebook , Telegram , and Google News The post Egrag Crypto States What It Will Take for XRP to Hit $100 appeared first on Times Tabloid .
